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Introduction to Econometrics Study Set 2
Quiz 5: Regression With a Single Regressor: Hypothesis Tests and Confidence Intervals
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Question 21
Essay
You have obtained measurements of height in inches of 29 female and 81 male students (Studenth)at your university.A regression of the height on a constant and a binary variable (BFemme), which takes a value of one for females and is zero otherwise, yields the following result:
Studenth
^
=
71.0
−
4.84
×
BFemme
,
R
2
=
0.40
,
S
E
R
=
2.0
(
0.3
)
(
0.57
)
\begin{aligned}\widehat{\text { Studenth }}= & 71.0-4.84 \times \text { BFemme }, \quad R^{2}=0.40, S E R=2.0 \\& (0.3)(0.57)\end{aligned}
Studenth
=
71.0
−
4.84
×
BFemme
,
R
2
=
0.40
,
SER
=
2.0
(
0.3
)
(
0.57
)
(a)What is the interpretation of the intercept? What is the interpretation of the slope? How tall are females, on average?
Question 22
Essay
(Requires Appendix)(continuation from Chapter 4).At a recent county fair, you observed that at one stand people's weight was forecasted, and were surprised by the accuracy (within a range).Thinking about how the person could have predicted your weight fairly accurately (despite the fact that she did not know about your "heavy bones"), you think about how this could have been accomplished.You remember that medical charts for children contain 5%, 25%, 50%, 75% and 95% lines for a weight/height relationship and decide to conduct an experiment with 110 of your peers.You collect the data and calculate the following sums:
∑
i
=
1
n
Y
i
=
17
,
375
,
∑
i
=
1
n
X
i
=
7
,
665.5
,
∑
i
=
1
n
y
i
2
=
94
,
228.8
,
∑
i
=
1
n
x
i
2
=
1
,
248.9
,
∑
i
=
1
n
x
i
y
i
=
7
,
625.9
\begin{array} { c } \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { n } Y _ { i } = 17,375 , \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { n } X _ { i } = 7,665.5 , \\\\\sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { n } y _ { i } ^ { 2 } = 94,228.8 , \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { n } x _ { i } ^ { 2 } = 1,248.9 , \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { n } x _ { i } y _ { i } = 7,625.9\end{array}
∑
i
=
1
n
Y
i
=
17
,
375
,
∑
i
=
1
n
X
i
=
7
,
665.5
,
∑
i
=
1
n
y
i
2
=
94
,
228.8
,
∑
i
=
1
n
x
i
2
=
1
,
248.9
,
∑
i
=
1
n
x
i
y
i
=
7
,
625.9
where the height is measured in inches and weight in pounds. (Small letters refer to deviations from means as in
z
i
=
Z
i
−
Z
ˉ
z _ { i } = Z _ { i } - \bar { Z }
z
i
=
Z
i
−
Z
ˉ
.) (a)Calculate the homoskedasticity-only standard errors and, using the resulting t- statistic, perform a test on the null hypothesis that there is no relationship between height and weight in the population of college students.
Question 23
Multiple Choice
In the presence of heteroskedasticity, and assuming that the usual least squares assumptions hold, the OLS estimator is
Question 24
Short Answer
The proof that OLS is BLUE requires all of the following assumptions with the exception of: a. the errors are homoskedastic. b. the errors are normally distributed. c.
E
(
u
i
∣
X
i
)
=
0
E \left( u _ { i } \mid X _ { i } \right) = 0
E
(
u
i
∣
X
i
)
=
0
. d. large outliers are unlikely.
Question 25
Short Answer
The error term is homoskedastic if a.
var
(
u
i
∣
X
i
=
x
)
\operatorname { var } \left( u _ { i } \mid X _ { i } = x \right)
var
(
u
i
∣
X
i
=
x
)
is constant for
i
=
1
,
…
,
n
i = 1 , \ldots , n
i
=
1
,
…
,
n
b.
var
(
u
i
∣
X
i
=
x
)
\operatorname { var } \left( u _ { i } \mid X _ { i } = x \right)
var
(
u
i
∣
X
i
=
x
)
depends on
x
x
x
c.
X
i
X _ { i }
X
i
is normally distributed d. there are no outliers.
Question 26
Multiple Choice
The homoskedastic normal regression assumptions are all of the following with the exception of:
Question 27
Essay
The effect of decreasing the student-teacher ratio by one is estimated to result in an improvement of the districtwide score by 2.28 with a standard error of 0.52. Construct a 90% and 99% confidence interval for the size of the slope coefficient and the corresponding predicted effect of changing the student-teacher ratio by one.What is the intuition on why the 99% confidence interval is wider than the 90% confidence interval?
Question 28
Essay
(continuation from Chapter 4) Sir Francis Galton, a cousin of James Darwin, examined the relationship between the height of children and their parents towards the end of the
1
9
th
19 ^ { \text {th } }
1
9
th
century. It is from this study that the name "regression" originated. You decide to update his findings by collecting data from 110 college students, and estimate the following relationship:
Studenth
^
=
19.6
+
0.73
×
Midparh,
R
2
=
0.45
,
S
E
R
=
2.0
(
7.2
)
(
0.10
)
\begin{aligned}\widehat { \text { Studenth } } = & 19.6 + 0.73 \times \text { Midparh, } R ^ { 2 } = 0.45 , S E R = 2.0 \\& ( 7.2 ) ( 0.10 )\end{aligned}
Studenth
=
19.6
+
0.73
×
Midparh,
R
2
=
0.45
,
SER
=
2.0
(
7.2
)
(
0.10
)
where Studenth is the height of students in inches, and Midparh is the average of the parental heights.Values in parentheses are heteroskedasticity robust standard errors.(Following Galton's methodology, both variables were adjusted so that the average female height was equal to the average male height.) (a)Test for the statistical significance of the slope coefficient.
Question 29
Essay
In order to formulate whether or not the alternative hypothesis is one-sided or two-sided, you need some guidance from economic theory.Choose at least three examples from economics or other fields where you have a clear idea what the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis for the slope coefficient should be. Write a brief justification for your answer.
Question 30
Essay
Explain carefully the relationship between a confidence interval, a one-sided hypothesis test, and a two-sided hypothesis test.What is the unit of measurement of the t-statistic?