Even though Beth knew that only 2% of the students in class receive an A, she was confident that she would earn an A. This is an example of

Name: Even though Beth knew that only 2% of the students in class receive an A, she was confident that she would earn an A. This is an example of
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Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Beth's confidence in earning an A despite knowing the statistical likelihood is low demonstrates the base-rate fallacy, where she ignores the general probability in favor of her personal belief.

Even Though Beth Knew That Only 2% of the Students