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Annual Estimates of the Population in a Certain City from 2004

Question 17

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Annual estimates of the population in a certain city from 2004 (t = 1) onward are shown in the time series graph below. Annual estimates of the population in a certain city from 2004 (t = 1) onward are shown in the time series graph below. a. Identify the dominant time series component(s) in the data. b. Below are the results from fitting a linear trend model to the data. Use this model to estimate the population in this city for 2014 (t = 11). Fitted Trend Equation , = 57,206 + 528t c. Below are the results from fitting a quadratic trend model to the data. Use this model to estimate the population in this city for 2014 (t = 11). Fitted Trend Equation , = 58,159 + 52t + 43.3t2 d. The actual population estimate for 2014 is 63,828. Which model does better? Why? a. Identify the dominant time series component(s) in the data.
b. Below are the results from fitting a linear trend model to the data. Use this model to estimate the population in this city for 2014 (t = 11).
Fitted Trend Equation Annual estimates of the population in a certain city from 2004 (t = 1) onward are shown in the time series graph below. a. Identify the dominant time series component(s) in the data. b. Below are the results from fitting a linear trend model to the data. Use this model to estimate the population in this city for 2014 (t = 11). Fitted Trend Equation , = 57,206 + 528t c. Below are the results from fitting a quadratic trend model to the data. Use this model to estimate the population in this city for 2014 (t = 11). Fitted Trend Equation , = 58,159 + 52t + 43.3t2 d. The actual population estimate for 2014 is 63,828. Which model does better? Why? , = 57,206 + 528t
c. Below are the results from fitting a quadratic trend model to the data. Use this model to estimate the population in this city for 2014 (t = 11).
Fitted Trend Equation Annual estimates of the population in a certain city from 2004 (t = 1) onward are shown in the time series graph below. a. Identify the dominant time series component(s) in the data. b. Below are the results from fitting a linear trend model to the data. Use this model to estimate the population in this city for 2014 (t = 11). Fitted Trend Equation , = 57,206 + 528t c. Below are the results from fitting a quadratic trend model to the data. Use this model to estimate the population in this city for 2014 (t = 11). Fitted Trend Equation , = 58,159 + 52t + 43.3t2 d. The actual population estimate for 2014 is 63,828. Which model does better? Why? , = 58,159 + 52t + 43.3t2
d. The actual population estimate for 2014 is 63,828. Which model does better? Why?

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a. Trend component
b. 63,014
c...

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