Martie had arranged for a high-profile speaker to deliver the keynote address at her college's annual function.However, due to unforeseen circumstances, the speaker was forced to drop out at the last moment.Martie reacts to this news by saying, "I knew all along that this would happen." This is an example of the ________.
A) anchoring bias
B) randomness bias
C) self-serving bias
D) hindsight bias

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Martie's statement reflects the hindsight bias, also known as the "I-knew-it-all-along" bias, which refers to the tendency to believe, after an event has occurred, that one would have predicted or expected the outcome beforehand. Martie is implying that she had a premonition or intuition that the speaker would drop out, even though there is no evidence to suggest that she actually had such knowledge before the fact.

Martie Had Arranged for a High-Profile Speaker to Deliver the Keynote